Friday, February 22, 2008

A perfect microcosm example of why Billary is finished

Minnesota: 2008 Presidential Election

Minnesota: McCain Leads Clinton By Five, Trails Obama By Fifteen

In Minnesota, the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows John McCain leading Hillary Clinton by five percentage points, 47% to 42%. However, it’s an entirely different story if Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee—Obama leads McCain by fifteen points, 53% to 38%.

This dynamic matches what Rasmussen Reports polls have found in most other states-- Obama typically outperforms Clinton in general election match-ups.

In Minnesota, Clinton leads McCain by nine among women but trails by twenty-one points among men. Obama leads by twenty-nine points among women while running even with McCain among men.

McCain narrowly leads Clinton among unaffiliated voters but trails Obama by a two-to-one margin among those same voters.

Obama is viewed favorably by 64% of the state’s voters, McCain by 62%, and Clinton by 51%.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of Minnesota voters view the economy as the top voting issue for Election 2008. Twenty-three percent (23%) believe the War in Iraq is the highest priority.

Among voters who consider the economy to be the top issue, McCain has a very slight edge over Clinton but trails Obama by a wide margin. McCain trails both Democrats among Minnesota voters who consider the War in Iraq to be the top issue.

Obama currently outperforms Clinton in Oregon,Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Colorado, and Nevada. These same dynamics are also found in national polling. In Missouri, both Clinton and Obama are essentially even with McCain. The one glaring exception to the general trend is Florida where both Clinton and Obama trail McCain at this time.

Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Democrats are heavily favored to win Minnesota’s Electoral College Votes this November (current prices: Republican 7.5% Democrat 85.0%). Among Democrats, the Markets give Obama a 80.5% chance to win the nomination while expectations for a Clinton victory are at 18.5%. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Original article posted here.

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